Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.365049 4.690142 5.044181 5.461519 5.944223 6.490324 7.162775
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.933533 4.356745 4.844401 5.457702 6.223478 7.170438 8.469338
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.627965 4.116386 4.705629 5.488894 6.537168 7.950675 10.125623
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.383442 3.918405 4.590012 5.528665 6.870977 8.848599 12.312495
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.247182 3.839529 4.614430 5.757621 7.520684 10.417228 16.490125
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.982727 3.568803 4.353982 5.550477 7.485427 10.906621 19.133135
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.855886 3.469957 4.318865 5.670641 8.008953 12.632352 26.780813
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.727879 3.357884 4.252645 5.734251 8.463523 14.510169 39.547436
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.558098 3.173676 4.062422 5.570409 8.464035 15.404961 52.800855
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.396606 2.990398 3.858113 5.357541 8.326510 15.922889 69.151254
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.364103 2.991558 3.936350 5.646521 9.327156 20.697085 352.147092
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.399571 3.095910 4.189578 6.309173 11.520541 34.865363 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.277408 2.964263 4.064215 6.266970 12.069341 45.261109 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.153451 2.821372 3.906764 6.135854 12.343443 57.399655 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.051802 2.706982 3.788471 6.071551 12.846729 82.015638 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.963789 2.608526 3.689292 6.034855 13.478699 138.924996 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.913054 2.566899 3.688557 6.228963 15.235204 1224.024545 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.808224 2.429559 3.498814 5.934941 14.712265 3839.508485 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.756344 2.377254 3.464145 6.022358 16.132149 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.702352 2.317902 3.410493 6.052908 17.393492 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.628013 2.219933 3.274206 5.841389 17.099257 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.554623 2.120346 3.128502 5.586026 16.399959 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.539616 2.119920 3.177595 5.875791 19.729561 NaN NaN